I've updated towards slightly earlier automation of research engineering (automated coder (AC)) and a somewhat smaller gap between automated coder and full automation of AI R&D. If I were writing this modal scenario today, I would maybe put AC at Feb 2028, AI R&D parity at May 2028, full automation of AI R&D at Nov 2028, and significantly past top-expert-dominating AI by around July 2029 (though wildly, wildly superhuman AI is plausible). I've updated some towards stronger transfer and faster…